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CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) vs Total Vehicle Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-36%
In sync
of periods
41%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-08
18
These move in the same direction about 41% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~13% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
CRWV moves ~7 months before Total Vehicle Sales
Watch CRWV for an early read on Total Vehicle Sales.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
41%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-36%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-72% → +15%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
18 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
363
608
Normalized
363
608
Prepared
19
608
Aligned
18
18
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
13%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
17
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -7 to 7 months.
Selected shift
+7 months
Correlation at this shift
-61%
+25% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Vehicle Sales shifted 7 months earlier. Reads: "Does CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) today line up with Total Vehicle Sales 7 months from now?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-36%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+7 months
-61%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-26%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-69%
10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
591
A: 1 / B: 590
Series A
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV)
CRWV
Stock · 363 raw → 19 prepared
Series B
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 608 raw → 608 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0569
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0009
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-totalsa_stock-crwv_monthly_5y