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CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) vs 10-Year Real Interest Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+37%
In sync
of periods
60%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
16
These move in the same direction about 60% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~14% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
10-Year Real Interest Rate moves ~3 months before CRWV
Watch 10-Year Real Interest Rate for an early read on CRWV.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
60%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+37%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
321
534
Normalized
321
534
Prepared
17
534
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
14%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
15
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
-3 months
Correlation at this shift
+45%
+8% stronger than no-shift baseline
10-Year Real Interest Rate shifted 3 months later. Reads: "Does CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) today line up with 10-Year Real Interest Rate 3 months ago?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+37%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-3 months
+45%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+60%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-30%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
519
A: 1 / B: 518
Series A
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV)
CRWV
Stock · 321 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
10-Year Real Interest Rate
REAINTRATREARAT10Y
FRED · 534 raw → 534 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1239
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0072
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-reaintratrearat10y_stock-crwv_monthly_5y