Loading market view
Loading market view
Loading correlations
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) vs Real Personal Consumption
Correlation
of % moves
-37%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
14
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~13% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
CRWV moves ~2 months before Real Personal Consumption
Watch CRWV for an early read on Real Personal Consumption.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-37%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-76% → +23%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
14 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
303
232
Normalized
303
232
Prepared
16
232
Aligned
14
14
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
13.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -3 to 3 months.
Selected shift
+2 months
Correlation at this shift
+69%
+33% stronger than no-shift baseline
Real Personal Consumption shifted 2 months earlier. Reads: "Does CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) today line up with Real Personal Consumption 2 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-37%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+2 months
+69%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+31%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-64%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
220
A: 2 / B: 218
Series A
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV)
CRWV
Stock · 303 raw → 16 prepared
Series B
Real Personal Consumption
PCEC96
FRED · 232 raw → 232 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0019
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0019
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-pcec96_stock-crwv_monthly_5y