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CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) vs Real Personal Consumption
Correlation
of % moves
-35%
In sync
of periods
43%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
15
These move in the same direction about 43% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~12% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
CRWV moves ~2 months before Real Personal Consumption
Watch CRWV for an early read on Real Personal Consumption.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
43%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-35%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
15 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
321
233
Normalized
321
233
Prepared
17
233
Aligned
15
15
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
12%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -4 to 4 months.
Selected shift
+2 months
Correlation at this shift
+67%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
Real Personal Consumption shifted 2 months earlier. Reads: "Does CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) today line up with Real Personal Consumption 2 months from now?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-35%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+2 months
+67%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+44%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-67%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
220
A: 2 / B: 218
Series A
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV)
CRWV
Stock · 321 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
Real Personal Consumption
PCEC96
FRED · 233 raw → 233 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0021
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0017
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-pcec96_stock-crwv_monthly_5y