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CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) vs Personal Consumption
Correlation
of % moves
-36%
In sync
of periods
58%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
13
These move opposite each other about 58% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~13% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Personal Consumption moves ~1 month before CRWV
Watch Personal Consumption for an early read on CRWV.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
58.3%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-36%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-78% → +27%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
290
807
Normalized
290
807
Prepared
15
807
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
13.3%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
-1 month
Correlation at this shift
-71%
+34% stronger than no-shift baseline
Personal Consumption shifted 1 month later. Reads: "Does CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) today line up with Personal Consumption 1 month ago?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-36%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-1 month
-71%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+1%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+54%
5 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
796
A: 2 / B: 794
Series A
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV)
CRWV
Stock · 290 raw → 15 prepared
Series B
Personal Consumption
PCE
FRED · 807 raw → 807 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0025
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0048
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-pce_stock-crwv_monthly_5y