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CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV) vs Real Disposable Income
Correlation
of % moves
-39%
In sync
of periods
42%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
13
These move opposite each other about 42% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~15% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
41.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-39%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-79% → +23%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
13 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
290
807
Normalized
290
807
Prepared
15
807
Aligned
13
13
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
15.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
13
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-39%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-39%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-39%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-52%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
796
A: 2 / B: 794
Series A
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRWV)
CRWV
Stock · 290 raw → 15 prepared
Series B
Real Disposable Income
DSPIC96
FRED · 807 raw → 807 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0051
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0007
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dspic96_stock-crwv_monthly_5y