SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move together about 65% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Shopify offers an e-commerce platform primarily to small and medium-size businesses. The firm has two segments. The subscription solutions segment allows Shopify merchants to conduct e-commerce on a variety of platforms, including the company's website, physical stores, pop-up stores, kiosks, social networks (Facebook), and Amazon. The merchant solutions segment offers add-on products for the platform that facilitate e-commerce and include Shopify Payments, Shopify Shipping, and Shopify Capital.
Market cap 165.8B · 7,600 employees
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with nearly 100 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (+71%) is running 1.3σ away from the long-run average of +87%.
Tighter in drawdowns
Pair moves more tightly when both fall (+53%) than when both rise (+8%) — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
Correlation drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+87%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Carnival Corporation at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+87%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+86% → +89%
Likely range
R²
76.2%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
64.8%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 37.1B · 117,000 employees
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+8%
89 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+53%
91 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-57%
69 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Shopify Inc. Class A subordinate voting shares
SHOP
Market cap 165.8B · 7,600 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Carnival Corporation
CCL
Market cap 37.1B · 117,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
12
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1446
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
6.2318
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 1 hour ago · ID: stock-ccl_stock-shop_5y
CCL
Carnival Corporation
Strongest positive