These move opposite each other about 59% of the time
Light inverse
Weak relationship — not much actionable signal here beyond directional colour.
Intel is a leading digital chipmaker focused on designing and manufacturing microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors and led the semiconductor industry down the path of Moore's law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing. Intel remains the market share leader in central processing units in both the PC and server end markets. The company is seeking to reinvigorate its chip manufacturing business, Intel Foundry, while developing leading-edge products in its Intel Products business segment.
Market cap 427.2B · 851,001 employees
Bitcoin
BTC
Layer 1 · USD pair
What to Watch
INTC moves ~6 days before BTC
Watch INTC for an early read on BTC.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+6%) and fall (+17%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+6 days
Correlation at this shift
-26%
+5% stronger than no-shift baseline
Bitcoin shifted 6 days earlier. Reads: "Does Intel Corp today line up with Bitcoin 6 days from now?"
495 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Bitcoin shifted 6 days earlier
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-20%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-28% → -12%
Likely range
R²
4.1%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
59.4%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
501
Robust
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
501 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
730
Normalized
1,255
730
Prepared
1,255
730
Aligned
501
501
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+6%
77 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+17%
75 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-33%
97 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
983
A: 754 / B: 229
Series A
Intel Corp
INTC
Market cap 427.2B · 851,001 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Bitcoin
BTC
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
18
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-321.4981
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
96656.2029
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: crypto:btc|stock:intc|5Y
BTC
Bitcoin
Strongest positive