SeriesMagCorrSyncOverlapThrough
Correlation
-12%
of % moves
In sync
40%
of periods
History
61
days · through 2026-05-03
These move opposite each other about 40% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~1% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Time Series
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
BNB moves ~4 days before US Economic Policy Uncertainty
Watch BNB for an early read on US Economic Policy Uncertainty.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
40.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-12%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-36% → +14%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
61 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
61
15,098
Normalized
61
15,098
Prepared
61
15,098
Aligned
61
61
Invalid removed
Explore
Top 5 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.
R²(i)
1.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
61
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+4 days
Correlation at this shift
+17%
+5% stronger than no-shift baseline
US Economic Policy Uncertainty shifted 4 days earlier. Reads: "Does BNB today line up with US Economic Policy Uncertainty 4 days from now?"
57 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-12%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+4 days
+17%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-39%
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-27%
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-66%
36 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
15,037
A: 0 / B: 15037
Series A
BNB
BNB
Crypto · 61 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
US Economic Policy Uncertainty
USEPUINDXD
FRED · 15,098 raw → 15,098 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
30
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.9188
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
962.5017
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: crypto-bnb_fred-usepuindxd_5y