These move together about 75% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
JPMorgan is a leading global financial services firm with operations in 66 countries and over 318,000 employees as of year-end 2025. Under the JPMorgan brands, the bank holding company boasts a $4.9 trillion balance sheet and $2.68 trillion in deposits, as of March 2026. The firm generates its revenue across three core operating segments: consumer and community banking, the commercial and investment bank, and asset and wealth management. It maintains the top global ranking in investment banking fees with an 8.4% market share, serves millions of consumers through its network of over 5,000 US branches, and manages over $7.1 trillion in client assets within its wealth and asset management franc
Market cap 835B · 318,512 employees
American Express is a global financial institution, operating in about 130 countries, that provides consumers and businesses charge and credit card payment products. The company also operates a highly profitable merchant payment network. It operates in four segments: US consumer services, US commercial services, international card services, and global merchant and network services. In addition to payment products, the company's commercial business offers expense management tools, consulting services, and business loans.
What to Watch
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+66%) and fall (+69%) — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
Correlation drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+97%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with American Express Company at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+97%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+97% → +98%
Likely range
R²
94.8%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
74.7%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 217.6B · 76,800 employees
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+66%
108 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+69%
103 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-39%
38 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM
Market cap 835B · 318,512 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
American Express Company
AXP
Market cap 217.6B · 76,800 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
54
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
1.0669
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
14.7128
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-axp_stock-jpm_5y
AXP
American Express Company
Strongest positive