These move together about 63% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Market cap 2.8T · 1,576,000 employees
Carnival is the largest global cruise company, with nearly 100 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
Market cap 37.1B · 117,000 employees
What to Watch
Drifting from pattern
Recent correlation (+65%) is running 1.3σ away from the long-run average of +85%.
Tighter in drawdowns
Pair moves more tightly when both fall (+49%) than when both rise (+21%) — typical risk-off behaviour.
Mostly stable
Correlation drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+85%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
1,255 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Carnival Corporation at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
+85%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
+84% → +87%
Likely range
R²
72.8%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
63.2%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,255
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,255 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
1,255
Normalized
1,255
1,255
Prepared
1,255
1,255
Aligned
1,255
1,255
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+21%
91 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+49%
87 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-51%
71 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN
Market cap 2.8T · 1,576,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Carnival Corporation
CCL
Market cap 37.1B · 117,000 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
23
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1341
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-3.3253
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn_stock-ccl_5y
CCL
Carnival Corporation
Strongest positive