SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move opposite each other about 60% of the time
Moderate inverse
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Intel is a leading digital chipmaker focused on designing and manufacturing microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors and led the semiconductor industry down the path of Moore's law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing. Intel remains the market share leader in central processing units in both the PC and server end markets. The company is seeking to reinvigorate its chip manufacturing business, Intel Foundry, while developing leading-edge products in its Intel Products business segment.
Market cap 427.2B · 851,001 employees
Aave
AAVE
DeFi · USD pair
What to Watch
INTC moves ~6 days before AAVE
Watch INTC for an early read on AAVE.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (-6%) and fall (+2%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+6 days
Correlation at this shift
-49%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
Aave shifted 6 days earlier. Reads: "Does Intel Corp today line up with Aave 6 days from now?"
495 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Aave shifted 6 days earlier
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-43%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-50% → -36%
Likely range
R²
18.9%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
60.2%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
501
Robust
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
501 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,255
730
Normalized
1,255
730
Prepared
1,255
730
Aligned
501
501
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-6%
71 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+2%
81 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-25%
97 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
983
A: 754 / B: 229
Series A
Intel Corp
INTC
Market cap 427.2B · 851,001 employees
Stock · 1,255 raw → 1,255 prepared
Series B
Aave
AAVE
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
18
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-2.8374
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
275.0188
Linear regression intercept.
Saved yesterday · ID: crypto:aave|stock:intc|5Y