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Correlation Analysis

VISA Inc. vs Valero Energy Corporation

V vs VLO

+0.571

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

V

VISA Inc.

V

Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.

Market cap 583.4B

VLO logo

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO

Valero Energy is one of the largest independent refiners in the United States. It operates 15 refineries, with a total throughput capacity of 3.2 million barrels a day in the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Valero also owns 12 ethanol plants with capacity of 1.6 billion gallons a year and holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which can produce 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel.

Market cap 73.4B · 9,811 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockFinancialsEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: VGray: VLO36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

V leads VLO by 6 days

V tends to move before VLO.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.576 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.174

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.432

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.829

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

32.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.533, 0.607]

Scatter

XY Regression

192.8200250300350372.148.450100150200250266.5VISA Inc.Valero Energy CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.571)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

V

VISA Inc.

V

Market cap 583.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

VLO logo

Valero Energy Corporation

VLO

Market cap 73.4B · 9,811 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

35

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3815

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

26.7091

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-v-vs-stock-vlo-daily