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Correlation Analysis

VISA Inc. vs UNRATE

V vs UNRATE

+0.227

Light positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

V

VISA Inc.

V

Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.

Market cap 583.4B

F

UNRATE

UNRATE

Apr 1, 2021 — Mar 1, 2026Monthly59 observationsStockFREDFinancials

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: VGray: UNRATE36 of 59 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

V leads UNRATE by 6 months

V tends to move before UNRATE.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.861 (13 shifts scanned)

Stability

Rolling Correlation

How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.

Dashed line = zero correlationRange: -1 to +1

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.069

6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.894

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.472

23 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

5.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

43.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

59

Thin shared window — 59 usable pairs.

Significance

n.s.

95% CI: [-0.031, 0.456]

Scatter

XY Regression

175.9200250300350371.13.293.544.555.566.31VISA Inc.UNRATEData pointsFit (r = 0.227)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

59 paired observations survived the monthly window.

Raw input

1,254

938

Normalized

1,254

938

Prepared

61

938

Aligned

59

59

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

881

A: 2 / B: 879

Series A

V

VISA Inc.

V

Market cap 583.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared

Series B

F

UNRATE

FRED · 938 raw → 938 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0026

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

3.4037

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-v-vs-fred-unrate-monthly-20260408-f54rzw