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Correlation Analysis

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock vs PepsiCo, Inc.

TSLA vs PEP

-0.515

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.

Market cap 1.3T

PEP logo

PepsiCo, Inc.

PEP

PepsiCo is a global leader in snacks and beverages, owning well-known household brands including Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Lay's, Cheetos, and Doritos, among others. The company dominates the global savory snacks market and also ranks as the second-largest beverage provider in the world (behind Coca-Cola) with diversified exposure to carbonated soft drinks, or CSD, as well as water, sports, and energy drink offerings. Convenience foods account for approximately 58% of its total revenue, with beverages making up the rest. Pepsi owns the bulk of its manufacturing and distribution capacity in the US, but uses bottlers overseas for beverages. International markets made up 41% of total sales and 46% of operating profits before corporate expenses in 2025.

Market cap 214.2B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockConsumerConsumer

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: TSLAGray: PEP36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

PEP leads TSLA by 6 days

PEP tends to move before TSLA.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.524 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.312

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.157

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.769

19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

26.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

52.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.555, -0.474]

Scatter

XY Regression

110200300400500509126130140150160170180190194Tesla, Inc. Common StockPepsiCo, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = -0.515)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Market cap 1.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

PEP logo

PepsiCo, Inc.

PEP

Market cap 214.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

33

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0898

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

187.9119

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-tsla-vs-stock-pep-daily-20260408-gsh0wm