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Correlation Analysis

PepsiCo, Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

PEP vs XOM

+0.092

Weak positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

PEP logo

PepsiCo, Inc.

PEP

PepsiCo is a global leader in snacks and beverages, owning well-known household brands including Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Lay's, Cheetos, and Doritos, among others. The company dominates the global savory snacks market and also ranks as the second-largest beverage provider in the world (behind Coca-Cola) with diversified exposure to carbonated soft drinks, or CSD, as well as water, sports, and energy drink offerings. Convenience foods account for approximately 58% of its total revenue, with beverages making up the rest. Pepsi owns the bulk of its manufacturing and distribution capacity in the US, but uses bottlers overseas for beverages. International markets made up 41% of total sales and 46% of operating profits before corporate expenses in 2025.

Market cap 214.2B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumerEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: PEPGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

PEP leads XOM by 5 days

PEP tends to move before XOM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.093 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.644

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.336

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.719

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

54.2%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.01

95% CI: [0.037, 0.147]

Scatter

XY Regression

12613014015016017018019019445.26080100120140160172.7PepsiCo, Inc.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.092)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

PEP logo

PepsiCo, Inc.

PEP

Market cap 214.2B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

33

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1424

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

78.2035

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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