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Correlation Analysis

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock vs CPIAUCSL

TSLA vs CPIAUCSL

+0.303

Light positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.

Market cap 1.3T

F

CPIAUCSL

CPIAUCSL

Apr 1, 2021 — Feb 1, 2026Monthly58 observationsStockFREDConsumer

Who Moves First

in sync

TSLA and CPIAUCSL tend to move at the same time.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.303 (13 shifts scanned)

Stability

Rolling Correlation

How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.

Dashed line = zero correlationRange: -1 to +1

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.388

17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

+0.101

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

9.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

47.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

58

Thin shared window — 58 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.05

95% CI: [0.048, 0.520]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: TSLAGray: CPIAUCSL36 of 58 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

108200300400488261.7270280290300310320330332.3Tesla, Inc. Common StockCPIAUCSLData pointsFit (r = 0.303)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

58 paired observations survived the monthly window.

Raw input

1,254

949

Normalized

1,254

949

Prepared

61

949

Aligned

58

58

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

894

A: 3 / B: 891

Series A

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Market cap 1.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared

Series B

F

CPIAUCSL

FRED · 949 raw → 949 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

10

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0655

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

285.6546

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-tsla-vs-fred-cpiaucsl-monthly-20260408-mw8ct8