Correlation Analysis
Progressive Corporation vs VISA Inc.
PGR vs V
+0.897
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Progressive Corporation
↗PGR
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has almost 27 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the US and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.
Market cap 114.9B · 70,000 employees
VISA Inc.
↗V
Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.
Market cap 583.4B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
PGR leads V by 6 days
PGR tends to move before V.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.901 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.188
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.246
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.437
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
80.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.886, 0.908]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Progressive Corporation
PGR
Market cap 114.9B · 70,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
VISA Inc.
V
Market cap 583.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
60
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.7614
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
133.1217
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-pgr-vs-stock-v-daily