Correlation Analysis
Nvidia Corp vs Dollar Tree Inc.
NVDA vs DLTR
-0.552
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Nvidia Corp
↗NVDA
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.
Market cap 4.3T
Dollar Tree Inc.
↗DLTR
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2024, Dollar Tree generated over $17 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
NVDA leads DLTR by 6 days
NVDA tends to move before DLTR.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.556 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.302
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.501
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.545
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
30.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
56.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.590, -0.513]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Nvidia Corp
NVDA
Market cap 4.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Dollar Tree Inc.
DLTR
Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2544
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
138.5175
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-dltr-daily-20260408-tv4q3k