Correlation Analysis
Dollar Tree Inc. vs Johnson & Johnson
DLTR vs JNJ
+0.170
Weak positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Dollar Tree Inc.
↗DLTR
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2024, Dollar Tree generated over $17 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees
Johnson & Johnson
↗JNJ
Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.
Market cap 580.4B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
DLTR leads JNJ by 6 days
DLTR tends to move before JNJ.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.172 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.101
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.240
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.591
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
2.9%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.116, 0.224]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Dollar Tree Inc.
DLTR
Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
Market cap 580.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
17
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1173
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
154.5159
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-dltr-vs-stock-jnj-daily