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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs Archer Daniels Midland Company

NVDA vs ADM

-0.621

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

ADM logo

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland is a major processor of oilseeds, corn, wheat, and other agricultural commodities. The company is also one of the largest grain merchandisers through its extensive network of logistical assets to store and transport crops around the globe. ADM also runs a nutrition business that focuses on both human and animal ingredients and is a large producer of corn-based sweeteners, starches, and ethanol.

Market cap 35.4B · 41,496 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: ADM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

ADM leads NVDA by 6 days

ADM tends to move before NVDA.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.634 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.169

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.601

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.476

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

38.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

49.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.654, -0.585]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.705010015020021839405060708090100101.3Nvidia CorpArcher Daniels Midland CompanyData pointsFit (r = -0.621)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ADM logo

Archer Daniels Midland Company

ADM

Market cap 35.4B · 41,496 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

3

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.1311

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

77.9038

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-adm-daily-20260408-ln3irr