Correlation Analysis
Archer Daniels Midland Company vs NetFlix Inc
ADM vs NFLX
-0.772
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Archer Daniels Midland Company
↗ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland is a major processor of oilseeds, corn, wheat, and other agricultural commodities. The company is also one of the largest grain merchandisers through its extensive network of logistical assets to store and transport crops around the globe. ADM also runs a nutrition business that focuses on both human and animal ingredients and is a large producer of corn-based sweeteners, starches, and ethanol.
Market cap 35.4B · 41,496 employees
NetFlix Inc
↗NFLX
Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Market cap 417.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ADM leads NFLX by 6 days
ADM tends to move before NFLX.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.788 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.421
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.430
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.661
19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
59.5%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
48.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.793, -0.748]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Archer Daniels Midland Company
ADM
Market cap 35.4B · 41,496 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
NetFlix Inc
NFLX
Market cap 417.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
14
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.8050
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
184.4889
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-adm-vs-stock-nflx-daily