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Correlate

Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs CPIAUCSL

NVDA vs CPIAUCSL

+0.825

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

F

CPIAUCSL

CPIAUCSL

Apr 1, 2021 — Feb 1, 2026Monthly58 observationsStockFREDTechnology

Who Moves First

CPIAUCSL leads NVDA by 6 months

CPIAUCSL tends to move before NVDA.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.847 (13 shifts scanned)

Stability

Rolling Correlation

How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.

Dashed line = zero correlationRange: -1 to +1

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.204

25 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

+0.413

10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

68.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

58

Thin shared window — 58 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.720, 0.893]

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: NVDAGray: CPIAUCSL36 of 58 points (sampled)

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.6050100150200202261.7270280290300310320330332.3Nvidia CorpCPIAUCSLData pointsFit (r = 0.825)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

58 paired observations survived the monthly window.

Raw input

1,254

949

Normalized

1,254

949

Prepared

61

949

Aligned

58

58

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

894

A: 3 / B: 891

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared

Series B

F

CPIAUCSL

FRED · 949 raw → 949 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2365

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

286.2398

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-fred-cpiaucsl-monthly-20260408-k1mtcj