Correlation Analysis
Annaly Capital Management. Inc. vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
NLY vs WMT
-0.355
Light inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Annaly Capital Management. Inc.
↗NLY
Annaly Capital Management Inc is an American mortgage real estate investment trust. Its business objective is to generate net income for distribution to its stockholders and optimize its returns through prudent management of its diversified investment strategies. The company's reportable operating segments are: the Agency segment, which invests in Agency mortgage-backed securities collateralized by residential mortgages; the Residential Credit segment, which invests in non-Agency residential whole loans and securitized products within the residential and commercial markets; the Mortgage Servicing Rights segment; and Corporate & Other. Maximum revenue for the company is generated from its Agency segment.
Market cap 15.4B · 212 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
NLY leads WMT by 6 days
NLY tends to move before WMT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.362 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.290
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.423
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.287
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
12.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.403, -0.306]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Annaly Capital Management. Inc.
NLY
Market cap 15.4B · 212 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.5529
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
102.8574
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
NLY
Annaly Capital Management. Inc.
Highest
+0.155
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.808
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-nly-vs-stock-wmt-daily