Correlation Analysis
Annaly Capital Management. Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
NLY vs XOM
-0.808
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Annaly Capital Management. Inc.
↗NLY
Annaly Capital Management Inc is an American mortgage real estate investment trust. Its business objective is to generate net income for distribution to its stockholders and optimize its returns through prudent management of its diversified investment strategies. The company's reportable operating segments are: the Agency segment, which invests in Agency mortgage-backed securities collateralized by residential mortgages; the Residential Credit segment, which invests in non-Agency residential whole loans and securitized products within the residential and commercial markets; the Mortgage Servicing Rights segment; and Corporate & Other. Maximum revenue for the company is generated from its Agency segment.
Market cap 15.4B · 212 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
XOM leads NLY by 6 days
XOM tends to move before NLY.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.823 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.622
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.423
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.668
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
65.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
60.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.826, -0.787]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Annaly Capital Management. Inc.
NLY
Market cap 15.4B · 212 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-3.1935
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
175.8192
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
NLY
Annaly Capital Management. Inc.
Highest
+0.155
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.615
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-nly-vs-stock-xom-daily