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Correlation Analysis

NetFlix Inc vs Paychex Inc

NFLX vs PAYX

+0.452

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NFLX logo

NetFlix Inc

NFLX

Netflix's relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 300 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided a regular slate of live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm introduced ad-supported subscription plans in 2022, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.

Market cap 417.7B

PAYX logo

Paychex Inc

PAYX

Paychex is a technology company providing human capital management solutions, enabling clients to better implement payroll, talent, time, tax, and benefits administration. It has a diverse set of product offerings addressing client needs. Aside from its traditional cloud-based payroll and HCM software offering, which accounts for close to half of total revenue, the company provides outsourcing options. Paychex's administrative service organization and professional employer organization accounts generate over 40% of sales. The balance of revenue is generated through retirement services, insurance solutions, and other products. In fiscal 2025, the company had 800,000 clients and almost 2.5 million worksite employees across its ASO and PEO.

Market cap 32.9B · 19,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: NFLXGray: PAYX36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

PAYX leads NFLX by 6 days

PAYX tends to move before NFLX.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.471 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.294

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.469

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.380

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

20.5%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.407, 0.495]

Scatter

XY Regression

10.720406080100120133.286.4100120140160162.2NetFlix IncPaychex IncData pointsFit (r = 0.452)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NFLX logo

NetFlix Inc

NFLX

Market cap 417.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

PAYX logo

Paychex Inc

PAYX

Market cap 32.9B · 19,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

36

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.2114

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

109.5601

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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