Correlation Analysis
Johnson & Johnson vs Paychex Inc
JNJ vs PAYX
-0.442
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Johnson & Johnson
↗JNJ
Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.
Market cap 580.4B
Paychex Inc
↗PAYX
Paychex is a technology company providing human capital management solutions, enabling clients to better implement payroll, talent, time, tax, and benefits administration. It has a diverse set of product offerings addressing client needs. Aside from its traditional cloud-based payroll and HCM software offering, which accounts for close to half of total revenue, the company provides outsourcing options. Paychex's administrative service organization and professional employer organization accounts generate over 40% of sales. The balance of revenue is generated through retirement services, insurance solutions, and other products. In fiscal 2025, the company had 800,000 clients and almost 2.5 million worksite employees across its ASO and PEO.
Market cap 32.9B · 19,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
JNJ leads PAYX by 6 days
JNJ tends to move before PAYX.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.464 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.444
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.290
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.770
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
19.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.486, -0.397]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
Market cap 580.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Paychex Inc
PAYX
Market cap 32.9B · 19,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
46
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.3218
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
176.8595
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-jnj-vs-stock-payx-daily