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Correlation Analysis

Newmont Corporation vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

NEM vs XOM

+0.164

Weak positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NEM logo

Newmont Corporation

NEM

Newmont is the world's largest gold miner. It bought Goldcorp in 2019, combined its Nevada mines in a joint venture with competitor Barrick later that year, and also purchased competitor Newcrest in November 2023. Its portfolio includes 11 mines and interests in two joint ventures in the Americas, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea. The company is expected to sell roughly 5.3 million ounces of gold in 2026 from its continuing mines after selling six higher-cost, smaller mines following the Newcrest acquisition. Newmont also produces material amounts of copper, silver, zinc, and lead as byproducts. It had about two decades of gold reserves, along with significant byproduct reserves at the end of December 2025.

Market cap 121.8B · 17,500 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockMaterialsEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: NEMGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

NEM and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.164 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.047

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.249

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.646

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

2.7%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

58.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.110, 0.218]

Scatter

XY Regression

25.240608010012012545.26080100120140160172.7Newmont CorporationExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.164)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NEM logo

Newmont Corporation

NEM

Market cap 121.8B · 17,500 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

11

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.1845

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

91.0216

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-nem-vs-stock-xom-daily