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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Newmont Corporation

MSFT vs NEM

+0.222

Light positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

NEM logo

Newmont Corporation

NEM

Newmont is the world's largest gold miner. It bought Goldcorp in 2019, combined its Nevada mines in a joint venture with competitor Barrick later that year, and also purchased competitor Newcrest in November 2023. Its portfolio includes 11 mines and interests in two joint ventures in the Americas, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea. The company is expected to sell roughly 5.3 million ounces of gold in 2026 from its continuing mines after selling six higher-cost, smaller mines following the Newcrest acquisition. Newmont also produces material amounts of copper, silver, zinc, and lead as byproducts. It had about two decades of gold reserves, along with significant byproduct reserves at the end of December 2025.

Market cap 121.8B · 17,500 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyMaterials

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: MSFTGray: NEM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads NEM by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before NEM.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.251 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.155

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.180

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.780

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

4.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

53.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.169, 0.274]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.325.2406080100120125Microsoft CorpNewmont CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.222)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

NEM logo

Newmont Corporation

NEM

Market cap 121.8B · 17,500 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

10

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0525

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

37.7984

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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