Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Occidental Petroleum Corporation
MSFT vs OXY
-0.125
Weak inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
↗OXY
Occidental Petroleum is an independent exploration and production company with operations in the United States, Latin America, and the Middle East. At the end of 2024, the company reported net proved reserves of 4.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent. Net production averaged 1.326 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2024 at a ratio of roughly 52% oil and natural gas liquids and 48% natural gas.
Market cap 62.4B · 10,412 employees
Who Moves First
MSFT leads OXY by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before OXY.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.136 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.343
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.343
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.700
21 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
1.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
51.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.179, -0.070]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
OXY
Market cap 62.4B · 10,412 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0194
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
58.4199
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 observations
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
Highest
+0.593
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.478
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-oxy-daily-20260408-qdx2ok