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Correlation Analysis

Occidental Petroleum Corporation vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

OXY vs XOM

+0.593

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

OXY logo

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

OXY

Occidental Petroleum is an independent exploration and production company with operations in the United States, Latin America, and the Middle East. At the end of 2024, the company reported net proved reserves of 4.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent. Net production averaged 1.326 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2024 at a ratio of roughly 52% oil and natural gas liquids and 48% natural gas.

Market cap 62.4B · 10,412 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergyEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: OXYGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

OXY and XOM tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.593 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.348

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.077

13 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.743

6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

35.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

78.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.556, 0.627]

Scatter

XY Regression

20.7304050607076.445.26080100120140160172.7Occidental Petroleum CorporationExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = 0.593)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

OXY logo

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

OXY

Market cap 62.4B · 10,412 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

17

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.0165

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

49.1218

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-oxy-vs-stock-xom-daily