Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
MSFT vs MDLZ
+0.001
Near-zero positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
↗MDLZ
Mondelez has operated independently since its split from the former Kraft Foods North American grocery business in October 2012. The firm is a leading player in the global snack enclave with a presence in the biscuit (48% of sales as of the end of fiscal 2025), chocolate (33%), gum/candy (10%), beverage (3%), and cheese and grocery (6%) aisles. Mondelez's portfolio includes well-known brands like Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Halls, and Cadbury. The firm derives around one-third of its revenue from developing markets, around 40% from Europe, and more than one-fourth from North America.
Market cap 74.9B · 91,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MSFT leads MDLZ by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before MDLZ.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.036 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.671
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.260
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.753
18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
54.2%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
n.s.
95% CI: [-0.055, 0.056]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
MDLZ
Market cap 74.9B · 91,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0000
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
65.2863
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Highest
+0.938
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.867
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
BMY · 1,254 data points
MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
Highest
+0.120
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.584
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-mdlz-daily-20260408-aa5qqb