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Correlation Analysis

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock vs Mondelez International, Inc. Class A

TSLA vs MDLZ

-0.584

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. The company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties including utilities and solar panels and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and an auto insurance business.

Market cap 1.3T

MDLZ logo

Mondelez International, Inc. Class A

MDLZ

Mondelez has operated independently since its split from the former Kraft Foods North American grocery business in October 2012. The firm is a leading player in the global snack enclave with a presence in the biscuit (48% of sales as of the end of fiscal 2025), chocolate (33%), gum/candy (10%), beverage (3%), and cheese and grocery (6%) aisles. Mondelez's portfolio includes well-known brands like Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Halls, and Cadbury. The firm derives around one-third of its revenue from developing markets, around 40% from Europe, and more than one-fourth from North America.

Market cap 74.9B · 91,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockConsumer

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: TSLAGray: MDLZ36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

TSLA leads MDLZ by 6 days

TSLA tends to move before MDLZ.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.601 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.538

5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.766

26 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

34.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

50.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.619, -0.546]

Scatter

XY Regression

11020030040050050952.8556065707577.41Tesla, Inc. Common StockMondelez International, Inc. Class AData pointsFit (r = -0.584)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

TSLA

Market cap 1.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MDLZ logo

Mondelez International, Inc. Class A

MDLZ

Market cap 74.9B · 91,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

27

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0369

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

75.4148

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-tsla-vs-stock-mdlz-daily-20260408-q8be86