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Correlation Analysis

Microsoft Corp vs Honeywell International, Inc.

MSFT vs HON

+0.337

Light positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

Market cap 2.8T

HON logo

Honeywell International, Inc.

HON

Honeywell traces its roots to 1885 with Albert Butz's firm, Butz Thermo-Electric Regulator, which produced a predecessor to the modern thermostat. Other inventions by Honeywell include biodegradable detergent and autopilot. Today, Honeywell is a global multi-industry behemoth with one of the largest installed bases of equipment. It operates through four business segments: aerospace technologies, industrial automation, energy and sustainability solutions, and building automation. Recently, Honeywell has made several portfolio changes to focus on fewer end markets and align with a set of secular growth trends. The firm is working diligently to expand its installed base, deriving around one third of its revenue from recurring aftermarket services.

Market cap 145.1B · 101,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnologyIndustrials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MSFTGray: HON36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MSFT leads HON by 6 days

MSFT tends to move before HON.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.346 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.454

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.257

11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.839

10 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

11.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

61.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.287, 0.385]

Scatter

XY Regression

208.6250300350400450500549.3162.3180200220240245.6Microsoft CorpHoneywell International, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.337)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

MSFT logo

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

Market cap 2.8T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

HON logo

Honeywell International, Inc.

HON

Market cap 145.1B · 101,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

12

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0638

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

172.7930

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-hon-daily-20260408-0f281r