Correlation Analysis
Honeywell International, Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
HON vs XOM
+0.083
Weak positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Honeywell International, Inc.
↗HON
Honeywell traces its roots to 1885 with Albert Butz's firm, Butz Thermo-Electric Regulator, which produced a predecessor to the modern thermostat. Other inventions by Honeywell include biodegradable detergent and autopilot. Today, Honeywell is a global multi-industry behemoth with one of the largest installed bases of equipment. It operates through four business segments: aerospace technologies, industrial automation, energy and sustainability solutions, and building automation. Recently, Honeywell has made several portfolio changes to focus on fewer end markets and align with a set of secular growth trends. The firm is working diligently to expand its installed base, deriving around one third of its revenue from recurring aftermarket services.
Market cap 145.1B · 101,000 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
HON and XOM tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.083 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.733
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.083
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.633
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.01
95% CI: [0.028, 0.138]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Honeywell International, Inc.
HON
Market cap 145.1B · 101,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
53
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1163
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
78.7074
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
HON
Honeywell International, Inc.
Highest
+0.576
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.289
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY · 1,254 data points
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-hon-vs-stock-xom-daily