Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs Global Payments, Inc.
MSFT vs GPN
-0.577
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
Global Payments, Inc.
↗GPN
Global Payments is a leading provider of payment processing and software solutions and historically focused on serving small and midsize merchants. The Worldpay acquisition pushes the company into the large merchant space and expands the company's international operations. Following the Worldpay acquisition, the company will process almost $4 trilliion in payment volume.
Market cap 17.9B · 26,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
MSFT leads GPN by 6 days
MSFT tends to move before GPN.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.581 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.154
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.141
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.461
19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
33.3%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.0%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.613, -0.539]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Global Payments, Inc.
GPN
Market cap 17.9B · 26,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2114
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
191.7820
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-stock-gpn-daily-20260408-w131rg