Correlation Analysis
Global Payments, Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation
GPN vs XOM
-0.811
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Global Payments, Inc.
↗GPN
Global Payments is a leading provider of payment processing and software solutions and historically focused on serving small and midsize merchants. The Worldpay acquisition pushes the company into the large merchant space and expands the company's international operations. Following the Worldpay acquisition, the company will process almost $4 trilliion in payment volume.
Market cap 17.9B · 26,000 employees
Exxon Mobil Corporation
↗XOM
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Market cap 680.7B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
XOM leads GPN by 6 days
XOM tends to move before GPN.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.815 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.488
8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.137
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.650
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
65.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.5%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.829, -0.791]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Global Payments, Inc.
GPN
Market cap 17.9B · 26,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
Market cap 680.7B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
19
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.5865
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
169.5365
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
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