Correlation Analysis
Microsoft Corp vs DGS10
MSFT vs DGS10
+0.576
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Microsoft Corp
↗MSFT
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).
Market cap 2.8T
DGS10
DGS10
Who Moves First
DGS10 leads MSFT by 6 days
DGS10 tends to move before MSFT.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.578 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.071
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.578
18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
33.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
46.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,244
Deep shared window — 1,244 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.538, 0.612]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,244 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
16,049
Normalized
1,254
16,049
Prepared
1,254
16,049
Aligned
1,244
1,244
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
14,815
A: 10 / B: 14805
Series A
Microsoft Corp
MSFT
Market cap 2.8T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
DGS10
FRED · 16,049 raw → 16,049 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0072
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.9237
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-msft-vs-fred-dgs10-daily-20260408-9vaxeh