Correlation Analysis
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Target Corporation
META vs TGT
-0.785
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗META
Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.
Market cap 1.4T
Target Corporation
↗TGT
Target's start dates back to 1962, but now it is one of the largest discount retailers in the United States (where it derives all of its sales), operating just under 2,000 stores and generating over $106 billion in fiscal 2024 sales. The company offers a broad assortment of merchandise across categories including apparel and accessories (16% of fiscal 2024 revenue), beauty and household essentials (30%), food and beverage (23%), hardlines (15%), as well as home furnishings (16%). Target's model is anchored in its physical store base, which fulfills more than 97% of sales. Around 30% of sales are derived from its own private-label brands.
Market cap 55.3B · 415,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
TGT leads META by 4 days
TGT tends to move before META.
Best correlation after shifting: -0.785 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.508
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.499
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.697
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
61.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
56.7%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,107
Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.807, -0.761]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,107 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,107
1,254
Normalized
1,107
1,254
Prepared
1,107
1,254
Aligned
1,107
1,107
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
147
A: 0 / B: 147
Series A
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META
Market cap 1.4T
Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared
Series B
Target Corporation
TGT
Market cap 55.3B · 415,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1459
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
204.5022
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
META
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.979
PCEC96
PCEC96 · 52 observations
Lowest
-0.939
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,107 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-tgt-daily-20260408-jngejz