Correlation Analysis
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
META vs MPC
+0.850
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗META
Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.
Market cap 1.4T
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
↗MPC
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the U.S.; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
Market cap 71.1B · 18,500 employees
Who Moves First
in sync
META and MPC tend to move at the same time.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.850 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.322
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.122
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.735
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
72.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
52.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,107
Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.833, 0.865]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,107 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,107
1,254
Normalized
1,107
1,254
Prepared
1,107
1,254
Aligned
1,107
1,107
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
147
A: 0 / B: 147
Series A
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META
Market cap 1.4T
Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared
Series B
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
MPC
Market cap 71.1B · 18,500 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1524
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
80.8893
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
META
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.979
PCEC96
PCEC96 · 52 observations
Lowest
-0.939
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,107 observations
MPC
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
Highest
+0.898
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.225
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-mpc-daily-20260408-b878es