Correlation Analysis
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Illinois Tool Works Inc.
META vs ITW
+0.691
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗META
Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.
Market cap 1.4T
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
↗ITW
Founded in 1912, Illinois Tool Works has become a diversified industrial manufacturer through acquisitions and innovations that follow customer needs. ITW operates through seven business segments, with no segment representing more than one-fifth of revenue. ITW's automotive OEM segment sells vehicle components; its food equipment segment sells commercial kitchen appliances; its test and measurement and electronics segment sells inspection and analysis equipment; its welding segment sells welding equipment and consumables; its polymers and fluids segment sells industrial and consumer adhesives, solvents, and coatings; its construction products segment sells building fasteners and tools; and its specialty products segment sells medical, packaging, HVAC, and airport ground equipment.
Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ITW leads META by 6 days
ITW tends to move before META.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.691 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.282
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.027
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.822
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
47.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
55.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,107
Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.658, 0.720]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,107 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,107
1,254
Normalized
1,107
1,254
Prepared
1,107
1,254
Aligned
1,107
1,107
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
147
A: 0 / B: 147
Series A
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
META
Market cap 1.4T
Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared
Series B
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
ITW
Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0611
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
217.8995
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
META
Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.979
PCEC96
PCEC96 · 52 data points
Lowest
-0.939
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,107 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-itw-daily-20260408-6yfe0e