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Correlation Analysis

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Dollar Tree Inc.

META vs DLTR

-0.518

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Meta is the largest social media company in the world, boasting close to 4 billion monthly active users worldwide. The firm's "Family of Apps," its core business, consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp. End users can leverage these applications for a variety of different purposes, from keeping in touch with friends to following celebrities and running digital businesses for free. Meta packages customer data, gleaned from its application ecosystem and sells ads to digital advertisers. While the firm has been investing heavily in its Reality Labs business, it remains a very small part of Meta's overall sales.

Market cap 1.4T

DLTR logo

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR

Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2024, Dollar Tree generated over $17 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.

Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees

Jun 30, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,107 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: METAGray: DLTR36 of 1,107 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

META leads DLTR by 6 days

META tends to move before DLTR.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.533 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.267

13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.244

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.434

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

26.9%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

55.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,107

Deep shared window — 1,107 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.560, -0.474]

Scatter

XY Regression

-450200400600800810546080100120140160174.3Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common StockDollar Tree Inc.Data pointsFit (r = -0.518)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,107 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,107

1,254

Normalized

1,107

1,254

Prepared

1,107

1,254

Aligned

1,107

1,107

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

147

A: 0 / B: 147

Series A

META logo

Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock

META

Market cap 1.4T

Stock · 1,107 raw → 1,107 prepared

Series B

DLTR logo

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR

Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

3

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0605

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

140.2670

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-meta-vs-stock-dltr-daily-20260408-5pbyx2