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Correlation Analysis

McDonald's Corporation vs VISA Inc.

MCD vs V

+0.781

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

M

McDonald's Corporation

MCD

McDonald's is the world's largest restaurant brand, with nearly $139 billion in systemwide sales across more than 45,000 restaurants and over 100 markets. The quick-service chain built its early reputation on speed, consistency, and affordable hamburgers, and today its global menu spans burgers, chicken, breakfast, and beverages that have helped popularize American fast-food cuisine worldwide. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and rent (about 62%), with the remainder stemming from company-operated restaurants across three segments: the United States (39% of systemwide sales), international operated markets (35%), and international developmental/licensed markets (26%).

Market cap 220.6B

V

VISA Inc.

V

Visa is the largest payment processor in the world. In fiscal 2025, it processed almost $17 trillion in total volume. Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second.

Market cap 583.4B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockConsumerFinancials

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: MCDGray: V36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

MCD and V tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.781 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.329

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.283

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.526

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

61.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

63.0%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.759, 0.802]

Scatter

XY Regression

223.4240260280300320340340.1192.8200250300350372.1McDonald's CorporationVISA Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.781)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

M

McDonald's Corporation

MCD

Market cap 220.6B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

V

VISA Inc.

V

Market cap 583.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

32

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

1.5318

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-159.9185

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-mcd-vs-stock-v-daily