Correlation Analysis
Mastercard Incorporated vs Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
MA vs MDLZ
-0.076
Weak inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
↗MDLZ
Mondelez has operated independently since its split from the former Kraft Foods North American grocery business in October 2012. The firm is a leading player in the global snack enclave with a presence in the biscuit (48% of sales as of the end of fiscal 2025), chocolate (33%), gum/candy (10%), beverage (3%), and cheese and grocery (6%) aisles. Mondelez's portfolio includes well-known brands like Oreo, Chips Ahoy, Halls, and Cadbury. The firm derives around one-third of its revenue from developing markets, around 40% from Europe, and more than one-fourth from North America.
Market cap 74.9B · 91,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads MDLZ by 6 days
MA tends to move before MDLZ.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.105 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.262
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.739
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.774
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
58.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.01
95% CI: [-0.131, -0.021]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
MDLZ
Market cap 74.9B · 91,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0047
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
67.3222
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
MA
Mastercard Incorporated
Highest
+0.987
VISA Inc.
V · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.898
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B
UPS · 1,254 data points
MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
Highest
+0.120
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.584
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-ma-vs-stock-mdlz-daily