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Correlation Analysis

Eli Lilly & Co. vs Simon Property Group, Inc.

LLY vs SPG

+0.751

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

SPG logo

Simon Property Group, Inc.

SPG

Simon Property Group is the largest retail real estate investment trust in the United States. Its portfolio includes an interest in 254 properties: 114 traditional malls, 108 premium outlets, 14 Mills centers (a combination of a traditional mall, outlet center, and big-box retailers), six lifestyle centers, and 12 other retail properties. Simon's portfolio averaged $736 in sales per square foot over the trailing 12 months. The company also owns a 22% interest in Klépierre, a European retail company with investments in shopping centers in 14 countries, and joint-venture interests in 33 premium outlets across 14 countries.

Market cap 61.8B · 3,600 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcareReal Estate

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: LLYGray: SPG36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

LLY leads SPG by 6 days

LLY tends to move before SPG.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.752 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.085

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.132

5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.416

16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

56.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.725, 0.774]

Scatter

XY Regression

1142004006008001,0001,14295.2100120140160180198.6Eli Lilly & Co.Simon Property Group, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.751)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

SPG logo

Simon Property Group, Inc.

SPG

Market cap 61.8B · 3,600 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

7

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0768

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

98.9828

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-lly-vs-stock-spg-daily