Correlation Analysis
Eli Lilly & Co. vs Packaging Corp of America
LLY vs PKG
+0.864
Very strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Eli Lilly & Co.
↗LLY
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Packaging Corp of America
↗PKG
Packaging Corp. of America is the third-largest containerboard and corrugated packaging manufacturer in the United States. It produces over 5 million tons of containerboard annually. The company's share of the domestic containerboard market is roughly 10%. PCA differentiates itself from larger competitors by focusing on smaller customers and operating with a high degree of flexibility.
Market cap 18.3B · 16,800 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
LLY leads PKG by 6 days
LLY tends to move before PKG.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.869 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.401
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.553
19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
74.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
53.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.850, 0.878]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Packaging Corp of America
PKG
Market cap 18.3B · 16,800 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1089
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
106.9617
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-lly-vs-stock-pkg-daily