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Correlation Analysis

Eli Lilly & Co. vs NVR, Inc.

LLY vs NVR

+0.869

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

NVR logo

NVR, Inc.

NVR

NVR Inc is engaged in the construction and sale of residential properties, including single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings, all of which are built on a pre-sold basis. Additionally, the company provides related services through its mortgage banking and title services businesses. Its business segments are Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. Its geographical segments include the Mid Atlantic, the North East, the Mid East, and the South East regions of America. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Homebuilding Mid Atlantic segment, which includes homebuilding operations that construct and sell single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominiums in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware and Washington, D.C. regions.

Market cap 18.7B · 6,300 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: LLYGray: NVR36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

NVR leads LLY by 6 days

NVR tends to move before LLY.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.869 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.282

16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.767

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.645

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

75.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

56.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.854, 0.881]

Scatter

XY Regression

1142004006008001,0001,1423,8454,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,0009,543Eli Lilly & Co.NVR, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.869)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

NVR logo

NVR, Inc.

NVR

Market cap 18.7B · 6,300 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

16

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

4.8571

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

3590.9999

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-lly-vs-stock-nvr-daily