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Correlation Analysis

Eli Lilly & Co. vs Merck & Co., Inc.

LLY vs MRK

+0.484

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

MRK logo

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK

Merck makes pharmaceutical products to treat several conditions in a number of therapeutic areas, including cardiometabolic disease, cancer, and infections. Within cancer, the firm's immuno-oncology platform, led by Keytruda, is a major contributor to overall sales. The company also has a substantial vaccine business aimed at preventing pediatric diseases, as well as Gardasil for human papillomavirus. Additionally, Merck sells animal health-related drugs. From a geographical perspective, 47% of the company's sales are generated from US human health (pharmaceuticals and vaccines).

Market cap 298.8B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcareHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: LLYGray: MRK36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

LLY and MRK tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.484 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.392

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.273

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.577

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

23.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

64.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.440, 0.525]

Scatter

XY Regression

1142004006008001,0001,14269.1708090100110120130132.4Eli Lilly & Co.Merck & Co., Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.484)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MRK logo

Merck & Co., Inc.

MRK

Market cap 298.8B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

11

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0298

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

81.2974

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-lly-vs-stock-mrk-daily