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Correlation Analysis

Johnson & Johnson vs Toast, Inc.

JNJ vs TOST

+0.033

Near-zero positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.

Market cap 580.4B

TOST logo

Toast, Inc.

TOST

Toast Inc is a cloud-based, all-in-one digital technology platform purpose-built for the restaurant community. The company provides a comprehensive platform of software-as-a-service (SaaS) products and financial technology solutions, including integrated payment processing, restaurant-grade hardware, and a broad ecosystem of third-party partners. It serves as a restaurant operating system, connecting front of house and back of house operations across service models such as dine-in, takeout, and delivery. It operates through one reportable segment consisting of its SaaS products, financial technology solutions, integrated payments, hardware, and partner ecosystem.

Market cap 15.9B · 6,500 employees

Sep 22, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,139 data pointsStockStockHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: JNJGray: TOST36 of 1,139 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

TOST leads JNJ by 6 days

TOST tends to move before JNJ.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.058 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.176

8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.157

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.564

21 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

51.6%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,139

Deep shared window — 1,139 usable pairs.

Significance

n.s.

95% CI: [-0.025, 0.091]

Scatter

XY Regression

135.8140160180200220240253.19.810203040506066.4Johnson & JohnsonToast, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.033)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,139 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,139

Normalized

1,254

1,139

Prepared

1,254

1,139

Aligned

1,139

1,139

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

115

A: 115 / B: 0

Series A

JNJ logo

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Market cap 580.4B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

TOST logo

Toast, Inc.

TOST

Market cap 15.9B · 6,500 employees

Stock · 1,139 raw → 1,139 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

37

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0167

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

24.6393

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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