Correlation Analysis
Global Payments, Inc. vs Mastercard Incorporated
GPN vs MA
-0.569
Moderate inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Global Payments, Inc.
↗GPN
Global Payments is a leading provider of payment processing and software solutions and historically focused on serving small and midsize merchants. The Worldpay acquisition pushes the company into the large merchant space and expands the company's international operations. Following the Worldpay acquisition, the company will process almost $4 trilliion in payment volume.
Market cap 17.9B · 26,000 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads GPN by 6 days
MA tends to move before GPN.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.581 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.379
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.323
14 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.540
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
32.3%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
70.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.605, -0.530]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Global Payments, Inc.
GPN
Market cap 17.9B · 26,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.5819
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
615.8476
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-gpn-vs-stock-ma-daily