Correlation Analysis
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock vs MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
GOOG vs MPC
+0.640
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock
↗GOOG
Alphabet is a holding company that wholly owns internet giant Google. The California-based company derives slightly less than 90% of its revenue from Google services, the vast majority of which is advertising sales. Alongside online ads, Google services houses sales stemming from Google's subscription services (YouTube TV and YouTube Music, among others), platforms (sales and in-app purchases on Play Store), and devices (Chromebooks, Pixel smartphones, and smart home products such as Chromecast). Google's cloud computing platform accounts for roughly 10% of Alphabet's revenue. The firm's investments in up-and-coming technologies such as self-driving cars (Waymo), health (Verily), and internet access (Google Fiber) make up the rest.
Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
↗MPC
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the U.S.; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
Market cap 71.1B · 18,500 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
in sync
GOOG and MPC tend to move at the same time.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.640 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.037
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.775
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
40.9%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
54.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.606, 0.671]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock
GOOG
Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
MPC
Market cap 71.1B · 18,500 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
34
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.5102
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
50.9993
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
GOOG
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock
Highest
+0.948
Amphenol Corporation
APH · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.861
Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock
FISV · 644 observations
MPC
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
Highest
+0.898
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 observations
Lowest
+0.225
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-goog-vs-stock-mpc-daily-20260408-ngfb7b